One thing is very certain right now – we live in very interesting times. As the world rushes head-first into the 21st Century, it appears one of the most pressing issues before all of us is to navigate the risks and opportunities that continue to stack up ahead of us. Within the first 20 years […]Read More

As discussed previously, economic theory always sounds much better than how it works out in reality. The reason is that in “theory,” supply and demand imbalances always revert to previous norms. However, in “reality,” humans rarely act or react, according to theory. We left off in Part-1, discussing the similarities between the U.S. and Japan. […]Read More

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Last week, we highlighted what we deemed to be some surprisingly good data. We cited the surge in Empire State General Business Conditions Index, the readings from US Home Purchases, Retail Sales, and even Hotel Occupancies as data that surprised to the upside – in a pretty big way. The positive surprises helped fuel the […]Read More

Tuesday brings us pretty solid PMI numbers from Europe. This is definitely supporting buyers and is actually serving as an ignition point for a new bullish wave for the global stocks. We’re not surprised as we predicted this probability yesterday. Let’s start with the DAX which is pushing forward after a false bearish breakout from […]Read More

Monday morning was the same as Friday night for global indices; we saw a visible risk aversion. Fundamental triggers pointed us into that direction, rising COVID-19 cases around the world and most noticeably Apple’s announcement that it would be shutting down some shops which have been strongly affected by the crisis. Otherwise, a bearish opening […]Read More

The economic calendar is normal including reports on home sales, consumer confidence, personal income and spending and jobless claims. The final revision of Q1 GDP will be of less interest. While there is growing interest in economic data, most investors and analysts know that the threat from COVID-19 has not ended. Bloomberg Businessweek’s cover story […]Read More

Brent Oil After last week’s correction, Brent oil has returned to bullish mode. The correction was very technical. We had a wedge, which ended on the 23.6% Fibonacci. Very well played by traders. We finally have some sanity around this commodity. S&P 500 Last week, the S&P 500 gave hope for sellers and then entirely […]Read More

The new week begins with a complete risk-off mode in the market. Stock bears have finally caught their breath and their short positions are no longer negative. What’s the reason behind this sharp reversal? It may be the last week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. It could also be growing fears about a new […]Read More

Tuesday brought us a bearish correction and Wednesday brings us its continuation. Traders have started positioning themselves ahead of today’s Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) meeting. The correction is pretty small and largely controlled, so it looks like investors don’t want to abandon stocks ahead of the FED meeting. They’re most likely avoiding missing another […]Read More